Methodology
How each widget works
How each KarbonKit widget reaches its answers: the method, the figures it uses, where they come from and when we last checked them, and its limits.
The widgets give estimates to help a household prepare for a conversation with an installer. They are not surveys or quotes.
Savings calculator
The calculator’s method, formulas, current prices and carbon factors, with a worked example, are on its own page: how the calculator works.
AR heat pump visualiser
Uses the phone’s camera to place a full-size heat pump or hot water cylinder in the visitor’s own space.
How it works
KarbonKit’s models match the outside dimensions of real products of each size, without their branding. They are fixed at full size, so pinching doesn’t resize them.
The phone finds the floor and places the model on it (WebXR on Android, AR Quick Look on iPhone). Placement is more accurate in good light, on a floor with some texture.
Figures used
Compact 7 kW heat pump
1100 × 965 × 450 mm
Dimensions of a real product of this size (not named) · Not re-checked
8.5 kW heat pump
1050 × 1020 × 480 mm
Dimensions of a real product of this size (not named) · Not re-checked
Low-profile 8 kW heat pump
998 × 850 × 500 mm
Dimensions of a real product of this size (not named) · Not re-checked
Large 12 kW heat pump
1100 × 1565 × 449 mm, two fans stacked
Dimensions of a real product of this size (not named) · Not re-checked
Hot water cylinder
595 mm across, 1265 mm tall
Dimensions of a real product of this size (not named) · Not re-checked
Limits
- Real units vary, so check the data sheet for the one you are quoted. Units also need clear space around them for airflow and servicing, which the model doesn’t show.
- Branded models are shown at the size in their model file, which we haven’t checked against the product.
- It shows size and position only, not noise or whether the spot meets planning rules.
Last reviewed 1 October 2026. Next review due by 1 October 2027. Try the ar heat pump visualiser.
Sound simulator
Plays a heat pump recording through a speaker placed where the outdoor unit would go, while a second device measures the sound level around the home.
How it works
The recording is of a real heat pump at full output, which is louder than it usually runs. Visitors set the volume to match the unit they are considering.
The meter averages the microphone signal and adds 94 dB to estimate a sound level. Phone and laptop microphones aren’t calibrated, don’t apply the A-weighting that noise limits use, and adjust their own sensitivity, so readings can be out by 10 dB or more. The meter is most useful for comparing one place with another.
A metre away in the open, a heat pump is about 8 dB quieter than the sound power on its data sheet. It gets about 6 dB quieter each time the distance doubles.
Figures used
Planning noise limit
42 dB(A), 1 m from a neighbour’s nearest window or door
MCS 020, as summarised in DESNZ’s 2023 review of heat pump noise. The 42 dB(A) includes 40 dB(A) of assumed background noise, leaving about 37 dB(A) for the heat pump · Checked 1 October 2026
Drop with distance
About 6 dB each time distance doubles
The inverse-square law, which MCS 020’s calculation is based on · Not re-checked
Level 1 m away
About 8 dB below sound power
The same law, for a unit on the ground away from walls. Each nearby wall adds about 3 dB · Not re-checked
Meter offset
+94 dB
A rough conversion from microphone level, not a calibration · Not re-checked
Limits
- The meter isn’t a sound level meter. For anything that matters, use a calibrated meter or the installer’s MCS 020 calculation.
- Speakers don’t reproduce the low hum of a real unit well, and the recording is of one model.
- Whether a unit meets the planning limit depends on the model, where it goes and what is around it. The installer calculates this.
Last reviewed 1 October 2026. Next review due by 1 April 2027. Try the sound simulator.
3D house tour
Watt’s House uses the same house and twenty topics, with Watt the cat as guide.
A 3D cutaway of a 1930s semi that runs entirely on electricity, with a short explanation of twenty things in it.
How it works
The house is an illustration, not a design: a typical 1930s semi with a heat pump, hot water cylinder, radiators, solar panels, a battery, a car charger and an induction hob.
Costs, savings, performance and noise are given as typical ranges. Each topic lists its sources, with the date they were checked, under “Sources”. A text-only version lists everything and works on any device.
Most sources are gov.uk, Ofgem, the Energy Saving Trust, MCS, DESNZ statistics and the Electrification of Heat trial.
Figures used
All figures
Listed under each topic
Inside the tour, with their sources · Checked 14 August 2026
Limits
- Typical ranges aren’t quotes. Costs and savings depend on the house, the tariff and how it is used.
- This is one example house. Yours will differ in size, age and layout.
Last reviewed 1 October 2026. Next review due by 1 April 2027. Try the 3d house tour.
Installer finder
Finds installers near a postcode from a directory built from public records, with a link to check each one on the MCS register.
How it works
The directory comes from Companies House, public business listings and installers’ own websites. Results are sorted by straight-line distance from the postcode. Installers can’t pay to be listed higher.
The technologies each installer offers are taken from their website where possible. Each card shows where this came from: their website, brands they mention, or their company name. The last two are marked as not confirmed.
Each week, the records that have gone longest without a check are checked again: company status at Companies House, whether the website works, and whether it still lists the same services. Dissolved companies are removed.
A website owner can list their own suggested installers instead of the directory, or above it. These are labelled as suggested by that website.
Figures used
Order
Nearest first
Straight-line distance from the postcode (postcodes.io) · Not re-checked
Updates
Weekly, oldest checks first
Companies House status and website checks · Not re-checked
Limits
- We don’t vet or recommend the installers listed. Check certification on the MCS register (each card links to it) and get more than one quote.
- We hold review ratings and certification details from public sources but don’t display them, because we can’t verify them.
- A record that hasn’t been checked recently may be out of date.
Last reviewed 1 October 2026. Next review due by 1 April 2027. Try the installer finder.
Grant eligibility finder
Shows which UK funding schemes a household may qualify for, from a postcode and four questions, with a link to each scheme’s official page.
How it works
Each scheme’s rules (country, tenure, income, benefits, property and heating type) are stored as conditions and checked against the answers. If a required condition fails, the result is “Not a match”. If every condition passes, it is “Looks like a match”. Otherwise it is “Worth checking”, with the points to confirm listed – for example when a question was skipped, or a rule needs more detail than four questions give.
The postcode gives the country and council. In England it is also checked against the government’s list of postcodes eligible for the Warm Homes: Local Grant.
Schemes past their closing date are hidden. A scheme that is overdue for review, or has an announced change we haven’t added yet, shows a warning to confirm the details on the official page.
Figures used
Scheme rules and amounts
Eight UK schemes
Official pages only: gov.uk, Ofgem, Home Energy Scotland, gov.wales, nidirect · Shown on each result
How often each scheme is checked
At least every 60 days, or 30 for schemes in flux
Our review cycle. Our monitoring fails if a scheme is a week overdue · Not re-checked
Warm Homes: Local Grant postcodes
England, income deciles 1–2
DESNZ eligible postcodes list · Not re-checked
Limits
- “Looks like a match” means the answers fit the published rules. The scheme makes the decision.
- Four questions can’t cover every rule. Income, for example, is asked as a band.
- Local council schemes only appear if the website owner has added them, and are labelled as theirs.
Last reviewed 1 October 2026. Next review due by 1 April 2027. Try the grant eligibility finder.
Boiler escape plan
Compares the carbon from keeping a gas, oil or LPG boiler for ten years with switching to an air source heat pump. It also estimates the chance of a breakdown from the boiler’s age, and builds a plan with reminders.
How it works
Heat demand is the heat the home needs each year. Without an address, the widget starts from typical fuel use and multiplies it by the boiler’s efficiency. With an address, it uses the home’s EPC instead: floor area times the median gas use per square metre of houses with the same rating (from meter readings), converted to heat in the same way.
Keeping the boiler: heat demand divided by boiler efficiency gives the fuel burnt, which is multiplied by the fuel’s carbon factor. This is the same every year.
Switching: heat demand divided by the heat pump’s seasonal performance gives the electricity it uses. That is multiplied by each year’s grid carbon factor, which falls as the grid decarbonises, and the carbon from making the heat pump is added.
The lock-in figure is the difference between the two over 12 years. It is roughly what replacing a broken boiler with another one commits a household to.
The breakdown chance comes from an assumed curve, because no UK data on boiler lifetimes is published. It is a Weibull curve with shape 2.5 and scale 14 years, giving an average life of about 12 years. On it, about 11% of 10-year-old boilers fail within a year, 14% at 12 and 19% at 15.
The readiness score adds up the answers to five questions about insulation, radiators, hot water, outdoor space and the fuse board. It is a guide to next steps.
Figures used
Carbon from mains gas
0.18231 kg CO₂e/kWh
DESNZ greenhouse gas conversion factors 2026 (gross calorific value) · Checked 1 October 2026
Carbon from heating oil
0.24677 kg CO₂e/kWh
DESNZ conversion factors 2026, burning oil · Checked 1 October 2026
Carbon from LPG
0.2145 kg CO₂e/kWh
DESNZ conversion factors 2026 · Checked 1 October 2026
Carbon from grid electricity, 2026
131 g CO₂e/kWh
DESNZ conversion factors 2026, UK electricity generated (excludes grid losses) · Checked 1 October 2026
Grid electricity in later years
2030: 50 g, 2035: 20 g, 2040: 10 g
Climate Change Committee, Seventh Carbon Budget, and DESNZ energy and emissions projections. Years in between are interpolated · Not re-checked
Heat pump seasonal performance
Gas and LPG boiler efficiency
82%
DESNZ in-situ boiler trial (2009) and Bennett et al. (2019): real-world seasonal efficiency of condensing combis, which is below the ~90% on their labels · Not re-checked
Oil boiler efficiency
80%
Our estimate, across condensing and older non-condensing oil boilers · Not re-checked
Typical gas use (no address)
9,500 kWh a year
Ofgem typical domestic consumption value (medium), from 1 July 2026 · Checked 1 October 2026
Typical oil and LPG use
17,000 and 13,500 kWh a year
Our estimate. Ofgem publishes no figure for homes off the gas grid, which tend to be older and larger · Not re-checked
Gas use per m² by EPC rating
A 74, B 68, C 97, D 110, E 118, F 117, G 109 kWh/m²
DESNZ National Energy Efficiency Data-Framework, June 2026 (2024 gas use, houses in England and Wales), median by EPC band. Includes hot water · Checked 1 October 2026
Breakdown curve
Weibull, shape 2.5, scale 14 years
An assumption, set to the industry view of a 12-year average life. No published data to fit it to · Not re-checked
Carbon from making a heat pump
1,200 kg CO₂e
Gemserv/Minviro life-cycle assessment (2024): about 640 kg to the factory gate, plus refrigerant leakage and the cylinder · Not re-checked
Carbon from making a boiler
300 kg CO₂e
Rough estimate. No published UK figure · Not re-checked
Boiler Upgrade Scheme
£7,500, or £9,000 until 31 March 2027 for homes heated by oil or LPG with no gas connection
gov.uk. England and Wales only · Checked 1 October 2026
Grant funding confirmed to
March 2030
Warm Homes Plan (DESNZ, 2026) · Checked 1 October 2026
Limits
- It compares carbon, not bills. Running costs depend on the tariff, and on some tariffs a heat pump costs more to run than gas.
- The breakdown chance is an assumption. A boiler’s condition, servicing and make matter more than its age.
- With an address, heat demand is what a typical house with that rating and floor area uses, not what this one does. Homes with the same rating vary widely, and the figures come from gas-heated houses, so flats and oil or LPG homes are less well matched.
- It assumes a heat pump that performs like the median in a national trial. A well-designed system will do better.
- It isn’t a survey. An MCS-certified installer works out the heat loss, heat pump size and cost.
Last reviewed 1 October 2026. Next review due by 1 March 2027. Try the boiler escape plan.
Radiator check
Estimates which rooms’ radiators would work with a heat pump, which could be swapped for a deeper radiator in the same space, and which may need a larger one. It uses the boiler’s setting and each radiator’s type, so nothing needs measuring.
How it works
If a radiator keeps its room warm now, it gives out enough heat at the boiler’s water temperature. A heat pump runs cooler water, and a radiator’s output falls with the difference between water and room temperature (to the power 1.3, under BS EN 442). The check works out how much bigger each radiator would need to be at the heat pump’s temperature. A radiator’s length cancels out of that, which is why nothing is measured.
The boiler’s water temperature comes from its heating dial. A 1–6 dial is read as 40–80°C, an unmarked dial as 40–80°C by position, and a dial nobody has changed as 70°C. Water is assumed to cool by 20°C on its way round a boiler system and by 5°C with a heat pump.
For each room, the household says whether the boiler can get it warm on a cold day. A room that overheats has radiator to spare, and one that never gets warm has too little (×0.8 to ×1.25). Rooms kept cool on purpose are not adjusted and are marked untested.
Swaps are compared by heat output per square metre of wall: a Type 22 gives about 1.8 times the output of a Type 11 in the same space. A room within 15% of enough is marked borderline, as that is within the method’s margin of error.
The dial setting is a maximum, and most radiators were fitted with some margin, so the check tends to overstate what’s needed. If the household has kept the house warm with the boiler turned down, that lower temperature is used. If not, the check suggests a week-long test at a lower setting (never below 50°C).
Figures used
Radiator output exponent
1.3
BS EN 442, the standard radiator outputs are rated to · Not re-checked
Temperature drop round the system
20°C boiler, 5°C heat pump
Typical design values · Not re-checked
Boiler setting if never changed
70°C
Where installers usually leave a combi’s heating dial · Not re-checked
Room temperatures
living room 21°C, kitchen 18°C, dining room 21°C, hall / landing 18°C, bedroom 18°C, bathroom 22°C, study / office 21°C
Design temperatures used in heat-loss calculations (CIBSE, as used by MCS) · Not re-checked
Panel radiator output per m² of wall
Type 10 1,070 W, Type 11 1,633 W, Type 21 2,242 W, Type 22 2,887 W, Type 33 4,167 W
Stelrad Compact 600 mm catalogue figures at a 50°C difference. Type 10 from typical catalogue values · Not re-checked
Column radiators and towel rails
Typical catalogue values
Not from a single product · Not re-checked
Comfort adjustment
×0.8 to ×1.25
Our judgement, kept coarse on purpose · Not re-checked
Borderline band
Up to 15% short
Our judgement of the method’s margin of error · Not re-checked
Running cost saving per degree lower
About 2%
A rule of thumb from a simple model of heat pump efficiency, not a measured figure · Not re-checked
Limits
- It assumes each radiator is about right for its room now. The comfort question and the turn-down test correct for this.
- Without a turn-down test it is cautious, and most homes will do better than it suggests.
- Pipe size doesn’t affect the result. Microbore pipes are flagged for the installer.
- An MCS-certified installer still needs to calculate the heat loss of every room before quoting.
Last reviewed 1 October 2026. Next review due by 1 October 2027. Try the radiator check.
